Fact: Rzzro's price feed shows LME zinc at $3,557/mt and SHFE zinc at ¥23,840/mt, down 2.42%. LME zinc is holding better than SHFE zinc because exchange stocks remain low.

Research points to LME zinc stocks around 108,000 t in early June, far below the 2024 peak near 400,000 t. That is the key support under the market even when Chinese prices soften.

Rzzro view: zinc buyers should watch stocks before they watch the headline price. Low LME stocks plus weak treatment charges are an early warning that refined tightness can return quickly.

What this means for buyers

Use $3,450-$3,500/mt as the hedge band for 2-4 months. Track LME stocks and concentrate TCs; falling stocks with weak TCs usually lead refined tightness.