Fact: Rzzro's price feed shows LME nickel at $17,630/mt and SHFE nickel at ¥149,340/mt, up 0.74%. The market is firm even though stainless demand remains the main demand anchor.
Research points to Indonesian ore quota cuts as the key supply variable. Indonesia controls a large share of global nickel output, and lower quotas can tighten feedstock before the effect shows up in refined metal balances.
Rzzro view: nickel buyers should watch ore policy, not only LME price. Stainless demand may be steady, but supply-side shocks can move the market before demand data change.
What this means for buyers
Keep 2-4 months of flexible coverage and add 6 months if Indonesian quota headlines tighten again. Stainless margins are the demand trigger to watch.