INTELLIGENCE REPORT

Wood Pulp Intelligence Report

July 9, 2026 · Intelligence Report · Wood Pulp (SHFE Woodpulp SSPK5)
BUYER: OPPORTUNISTIC

Wood pulp markets remain in divergence through July 9, 2026: softwood (NBSK) faces persistent structural oversupply at 46 days of producer inventory, while hardwood (BHK) stays below the 42-day balance point. NBSK list prices hold at $1,570/mt (unchanged MoM), but SHFE pulp futures at 4,640 CNY/t mark a -6.7% MoM and -8.8% YoY decline. Global producer inventories at 42 days remain elevated for softwood. China port inventories at 2.334M tonnes (+1.6%) signal persistent supply pressure. European NBSK price talks for June stalled into early July (EUWID, Jul 8). US NBSK spot at $680-710/t delivered. PPWR enforceable Aug 12, 2026 โ€” +30 days. The procurement call: opportunistic on softwood (delay term commitments), defensive on hardwood. Prices expected to grind lower through Q3 2026.

NBSK List
$1,570
Flat MoM
SHFE Pulp
4,640
-6.7% MoM
BSK Days
46
Elevated
China Port Inv.
2.334M
+1.6% build
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Data status: Prices sourced from Fastmarkets, SHFE SSPK5, SunSirs, and TradingEconomics as of July 9, 2026. Research covers supply/disruptions, demand, trade policy, inventories, scenarios. Sources: PPPC, Fastmarkets, SunSirs, SCI99, Mordor Intelligence, NOREXECO, Fitch, Eurostat. FACT:6 | ESTIMATE:8 | SPECULATION:1.

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