INTELLIGENCE REPORT

RBOB Gasoline Intelligence Report

June 17, 2026 · Intelligence Report · RBOB Gasoline (NYMEX RB=F)
BUYER: DEFENSIVE

RBOB gasoline at $2.82/gal has corrected 25% from the May peak as Hormuz reopening talks advance and the summer driving surge shows signs of moderating. But physical fundamentals are the tightest in decades. US gasoline inventories are 6% below the 5-year average after a record Feb-May drawdown. Refineries are running at 94.5% utilization with no spare capacity. The market has burned through inventory before peak summer demand has fully arrived. EIA forecasts wholesale gasoline up 50% vs pre-conflict. The procurement call: defensive positioning around seasonal lows, with tactical prompt hedging for peak driving (July-August) while avoiding long-duration exposure ahead of Hormuz clarity.

NYMEX RB=F
$2.82
-2.05% vs prev close
YTD Change
+66.1%
From Jan open ~$1.71
52-Week Range
$1.68 – $3.77
-25% from May high
Gasoline Stocks
215.2M bbl
6% below 5yr avg
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Data updated: June 17, 2026 — Pipeline snapshot $2.82/gal (NYMEX RB=F, 1,259 data points) — EIA inventory data through June 5, 2026 — EIA STEO forecasts through June 2026